The Taliban has been responsible for the fall of four of Afghan’s provincial capitals the first week of August 2021. The capital of southwestern Nimroz province, Zaranj was the first one to fall whose reports were a blow to the government despite being the smallest provincial capital.
As the Taliban take cities, and the falling of Kabul, the capital of country, Afghanistan is considered to be dynamic and dangerous.
With the Afghanistan at the brink, the United States should expect an influx of refugees, in April 2021 Kemal Kirişci who is a foreigner policy expert, cautioned of many exodus of refugees from Afghanistan which could result to another migration crisis and his research had minimal attention. According to his prediction, the Taliban are making rapid territorial gains before the United States and NATO withdraws military, it is clear that the prediction could have started to come to reality.
In April, when foreign policy expert Kemal Kirişci warned of "a huge outflow of migrants leaving Afghanistan that may ignite another migratory crisis," his findings were mostly ignored.
His forecasts may have already begun to materialize as the Taliban makes fast territory advances ahead of the US and NATO military departure at the end of the month.
According to the UN's refugee agency, an estimated 270,000 individuals in the nation have been forced to leave their homes since the beginning of the year.
Relief organizations have issued a warning that this may be the start of a far larger humanitarian catastrophe, with catastrophic repercussions for Afghan people.
80,000 children have been relocated in the last two months, according to the organization, with a record number dead or wounded.
Many European authorities are worried that migrant numbers would rise on the Old Continent as more Afghans attempt to flee war and violence.
The migrant crisis of 2015-16, which saw hundreds of thousands of Syrians arrive, has left scars on the European Union. The incident prompted heated debates inside the EU's 27-nation bloc over how to share the migrant load, with populist parties in certain areas of Europe profiting from anti-immigration sentiment.
Chancellor Angela Merkel, who in 2015 welcomed a large number of Syrian refugees into Germany under the slogan "We Can Do It," has altered her mind. At a news conference last month, she addressed the subject of Afghan refugees, stating, "We cannot solve all of these issues by bringing everyone in."
Last month, Turkish officials said that they were carefully monitoring any inflow of Afghan migrants, citing the fact that more than 27,000 Afghan migrants had been captured crossing the Iranian border this year. Afghan migrants trying to reach Turkey before continuing their trip to Europe have traditionally used the Iranian-Turkish border as a smuggling route.
In addition to the Turkey route, Lithuania claims that Afghan migrants have started coming through Belarus, indicating that a new route may be developing. Minsk has been accused by Vilnius of orchestrating illegal border crossings as part of a "hybrid war" against the EU. As Europe grapples with a fresh refugee crisis originating in Afghanistan, its difficult relationship with Ankara over migration problems is set to be revisited. When the EU and Ankara have a disagreement, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan often threatens to cease stopping migrants from entering Europe.
Kirişci anticipated a huge humanitarian and perhaps political catastrophe between Turkey and Greece as Greek security forces attempt to block Afghan migrants from arriving from Turkey.
However, the EU seems to be willing to keep the money coming. The European Commission spokesman said, "The EU will continue to assist its partners in safeguarding refugees and persons in need of international protection, as well as aiding host nations."
Written By: Olivium's Editor